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Tuesday, May 24, 2022
HomeLatest NewsAfter the cancellation of Russia in the Eurovision Song Contest, Ukraine became...

After the cancellation of Russia in the Eurovision Song Contest, Ukraine became the favorite. The song is dedicated to a mother who is overprotective of her adult son.

The Kalush Orchestra group with the song Stefania is brought to first place by bookmakers.


It’s no secret that music is out of politics. If we are not talking about Russian music, of course. For this reason, the European Broadcasting Union decided to remove Russia from participating in Eurovision 2022. It cannot be said that the news bothered our audience and broadcasters very much: the First and the All-Russian State Radio and Television Company simultaneously left the structure. who organized the program. In general, in our country there are already quite a few contests and vocal talents.

However, it is still interesting to observe from the outside in what direction the most independent derives, as the regulations say, from the politics of the show. Bookmakers on the eve of the start of Eurovision (May 14 in Turin, Italy) calculated the approximate chances of winning of the participants. Based on released songs, viewer preferences, and other analytics.

Dating is interesting. Favorite – Ukraine.

The Kalush Orchestra group, which replaced Alina Pash (banned for visiting Crimea, music is out of politics!), With the song Stefania, bookmakers take her to first place. And, by a huge margin. If we recalculate the coefficients of the Eurovision straight in percentage, it turns out that Ukraine’s probability of victory is estimated at 45%, Italy’s chances (the duet of Mahmoud and Blanco with the song Brividi), which is put in a hypothetical second place, with 13%. In third place on the list is the Swedish singer Cornelia Jacobs with the song “Hold Me Closer”.

According to the official version, the song Stefania is dedicated to the mother of Oleg Psyuk, the leader of the Kalush Orchestra, who raised and fed him, but continues to provide hyper-custody even when he grew up – the soloist asks not to do so. East. In a word, an uncomplicated political metaphor can also be seen here.

“I’m an adult now, ma, enough is enough,

save things for me to grow, like a little one,

I am not a child, but she is going through everything,

where I walked so long that it was empty for me,

Mom, you’re still young, if I don’t appreciate your care and on top of fame, then I’m at a dead end,

Fuck this fame, I’ll sing with love


For the victory of Ukraine they give 1.6 (the bet is multiplied by this coefficient in case of victory), Italy – 6, Sweden – also 6.

The last time Ukraine won the contest was in 2016, when the singer Jamala, also far from politics, sang the song “1944” about the deportation of Crimean Tatars in Soviet times. Formally, there was no reason for such a statement (supposedly, the events were very personal for the singer, but she had not performed such songs before), but the obvious allusions were understood by everyone: the Ukrainian singer hinted at events in Crimea. A competent marketing move ensured a certain victory for the artist. Apparently, history will repeat itself in 2022. And then it will be guaranteed again that the road to Eurovision 2023 for Russia is closed.


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