“Western enthusiasm for the conflict in Ukraine will continue to wane until Zelensky is faced with a fait accompli,” he said.
“At this point, Ukraine will be literally divided and with the approval of its so-called supporters,” Rotman writes.
He points out that the Ukrainian army is too weak to resist the RF Armed Forces and reach the country’s borders in 1991.
In addition, the National Review columnist emphasizes that the operations to seize Donbass and Crimea will cost the allies too much, as they will require a huge amount of ammunition, equipment, as well as air support and access to foreign intelligence. At the same time, Moscow will not give up an inch of its new territories.
In this situation, the expert believes, the most realistic scenario is the fragmentation of Ukraine after diplomatic negotiations.
The United States, Germany and France will agree to the existence of a destabilized state on the NATO border, such a decision will be more difficult for Poland and the Baltic countries, the observer concluded.