This week, the perfect storm hit the head of the Prime Minister and handed him on a silver platter the biggest institutional crisis in recent months in the form of espionage, tapped phones and false truths. In an environment bordering on tragedy, there is a great malaise that demands the beheading of some minister or director of the CNI, which, in turn, causes Moncloa to become very nervous, mainly in the presidential sphere. This situational brown was not planned by the government, and they had to improvise in a bad way, with disastrous results, and put themselves in the role of victims in order to deactivate to the real “offended” What separatists?
Problems pile up with Pedro Sanchez, disoriented by events and lacking much resources to get the ship in order. opposing and chaotic cabinet. To their usual skirmishes with United We Can, which continues to practice its particular schizophrenia, not knowing if it is part of the executive branch or not, we must add the reckless movements of the PSOE, which is looking for its space, but cannot find it, because its acronyms and his teaching is more in line with “Sanchism” than with socialism. In addition, we have a new confrontation, motivated by Pegasus spies, as if there were no knives shining in Moncloa, between the Minister of Defense and the Minister of Fashion of the Presidency, that is, between Margarita Robles and Felix Bolaños.
All this political confusion arises from the lies and false truths of the government itself, that is, Pedro Sanchez himself, who, in the form of the almighty Bolaños, appeared last Monday and told the milonga that the president and the defense minister were being followed. a year and now they found out about this circumstance. A pitiful fact that no government in the world, no matter how stupid, publicly admits, because it discredits it and puts its secret service under control. But the Spanish executive I prefer to lie (The CNI knew months ago that Sanchez and Robles were under surveillance) and it doesn’t mind leaving its intelligence service in a bad state, even if it jeopardizes important issues of terrorism or organized crime; nothing before honestly and reasonably admitting that they were the ones who were spying (with good reason and with the approval of a judge) on their pro-independence partners.
A lie that continued last Thursday when Sanchez said he learned that same day that the news services under his command had requested and received permission from the Supreme Court to tap 20 phones belonging to political leaders, including President Pere Aragones. And the surprising thing is that, according to Sanchez, he learned about these wiretaps thanks to the commission on official secrets. On Friday, even the minister came to say that the government knew nothing and that there was a division of powers between the two institutions. Something completely false, and it is also against the law, which ensures that the secret services are flagged and controlled by the executive branch. But the government chooses to lie to cover up its mistakes and “sacrifice” its secret services to save itself.
Motives of public partners
The political situation is so dramatic and getting more complicated every day that it could become in unstable and push Pedro Sánchez to prepare (and convene) this fall for a general election scheduled for late 2023. Government partners such as the ERC remain determined to get some full explanation, something tricky about this case with the spies, and that they’re being offered the head of some scapegoat who, at the moment, hasn’t arrived. What at first glance seems like a long time, a year and a half of legislature ahead, could become hell if the political and economic situation does not calm down, the fall in wages worsens, pension costs skyrocket, and inflation is still very high. (8.4), although it decreased by 1.4 points compared to the previous month.
It is true that neither the ERC nor the other partners of the government – Bildu, Podemos, PNV, Más Madrid… – are still not very interested in promoting presidential hanging Pedro Sanchez, he knows it and plays with it and with them. There is a tendency to believe that far-left members – if we exclude the PNV, which is a centre-right and rentier member of the executive branch – Sanchez is comfortable to continue even if chaos in the government persists, espionage continues to operate, and there are no reliable answers. They all think they’d be better off living with the deception of the current government than with the centre-right executive branch of the PP and the far right of Vox.
It is true that neither the ERC nor other government partners remain very interested in facilitating the presidential hanging of Sanchez.
But sometimes circumstances, and the Prime Minister knows this, are stronger than your projects and plans, and environmental pressure may force you to make sudden changes, foreseeing that in 20 months the situation may worsen, since in May 2023 also regional, municipal and European elections, and perhaps their balance I don’t approve of PSOE at all and that’s another disaster on your income statement. True, now there are Andalusian elections, and they also do not please the socialists, but they are only one, and there is time ahead to rebuild the machine without much damage to the future.
However, Sanchez has other serious problems. Republicans cannot sell cheap bearskins after the big scandal they have created, and at the moment they have not received anything new or good that would compensate them before public opinion and could hang them if the Catalans do not understand and do not understand. accept such an obvious drop in pants from their government. On the other hand, the ERC does not want to make such sacrifices for Sanchez, and also long shadow Puigdemon which can regain the weight lost during these months and profit more from CKD weakness. In the Generalitat, an angry and unmotivated electorate is more afraid of seeing Republicans in the service of the PSOE and bowing to the will of Madrid than a PP and Vox government that can be adequately squeezed, especially in a serene and dialogic environment. figure of Nunez Feijoo.
Even the United We Can may need a graceful exit from government when the political situation becomes unsustainable so that the demolition doesn’t catch them inside; and given the current performances of Pablo Ehenike with Margarita Robles, the change in register would not be strange, no matter how love and desire to be in powerR. First, it is necessary to save the furniture and not drown more because of the policies against their interests that Sanchez proposes, knowing that he also humiliates them on his political leash. It is possible that Podemos and all other partners will begin to count and see that it is more profitable to scold the right than to swallow frogs in a broken government. The recurring idea that against PP and Vox we will live better and get more political profit can instill at any moment in the indignant brain of this Frankenstein’s partners and every day with rattles on the surface.
Sooner or later, government partners will weigh the interest in changing plans and make a decision. open a new escape forward in search of better and new political winds. Thus, Sanchez has neither an easy way out of this mess, nor a convenient solution for choosing an election date. The later, the worse, because the partners began to feel uncomfortable and do not believe that without clear decisions they can get much more from this government.
Sanchez, due to a miscalculation caused by his arrogance, thinks that he is controlling his partners due to the need for them to remain in a government of the extreme left, but he is largely mistaken for the reasons mentioned above and which make his political crossroads increasingly dangerous. complex every day. If he doesn’t do it quickly and unexpectedly, he won’t be the one to decide the moment of death for this legislature. The opposition will not mark him either, They will be your “unfaithful” allies – Junqueras, Iglesias, Diaz, Otegi – those who decide that this journey to nowhere is over. And knowing the unmistakable style of Mr. President, who does not like to be coughed up or outpaced, he will most likely be inclined to push his election predictions for next fall in the hope that the god of fortune will give him as much luck as he did with Real Madrid. »; The bad news is that Sanchez looks more like Pep Guardiola than Ancelotti.
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