There is no doubt that the Prime Minister is in a bad political moment due to the CNI crisis and the spying in the Pegasus v. Independents case. They also continue, no matter how much gas and gasoline they try to add, multiple financial problems inflation that seriously tarnishes his image and his survival in Moncloa, not forgetting the unsettled debate over the Sahara issue or the conflicts with United We Can, members of the government itself, although it may not seem like it, over the supply of Spanish weapons to Ukraine.
Its political weakness – the PSOE has no more than 120 seats in Congress – and constant fights with their “partners”, they make the current panorama and future of Pedro Sánchez not at all rosy, even at first glance they may seem even more fateful if we take into account the upcoming elections in Andalusia on June 19, which make the socialists lose against Juanma Moreno. who manages to repeat, judging by all the polls, his electoral success. And this new triumph, even if it is regional, always has a symbolic and mimetic effect in the rest of Spain, and even more so in a region as large as Andalusia.
However, we must not forget that this president is the living embodiment of the phoenix, which reborn from its own ashesas he repeatedly showed. From being “expelled” from his own party due to clashes with the manager at the time, to achieving the difficult mission of expelling the entire president with a vote of no confidence, as was the case with Mariano Rajoy; without forgetting coalition agreement with United We Can and supporting such unusual political partners in running the country as the sovereignists and the far left.
His ability to manage short-term politics and subterfuge means that two days after the start of a major crisis and the sacking of CNI director Paz Esteban, and without having to offer the heads of Margarita Robles or Felix Bolaños, he has the ire of his partners in Catalonia, Esquerra Republicana, were appeased enough. and the wounds are starting to heal, even in the face of a meeting – not yet decided – between the two presidents, Sanchez and Aragones. Although, let’s say, the merit is not so much in the good work of Moncloa, but in the political interest of the separatists, who continue to bet on this government in the face of the dilemma that it is the People’s Party with the help of Vox, who run the nation. Or, as the representative of the PP Kuka Gamarra puts it, “the independence party they sense weakness de Sanchez, and they want to take advantage of it.”
It is true that for the vast majority of citizens, Pedro Sanchez becomes the face of Zapatero, that is politician on the road to defeat circumstances and that he is on his way to the beginning of his final stage. But, as he himself admitted last Thursday, he is ready to resist, as well as “fight” with two hands: with agreements from the left and right, as he did this week in Congress, which, despising the opposition, forced them to support him in the “Law on national security” so that he could act and be able to cancel the amendments to the whole set that the ERC, PNV, Bildu and Más País intended to propose. In this, the government was supported not only by the PP, but also by Vox and Ciudadanos, who consider it necessary to carry out the process of approving this rule.
As a result of the dismissal of the director of the CNI and the rudeness between Pedro Sanchez and the opposition, the bridges between the PP and the PSOE are further destroyed, but this does not mean that they are not trying to support state agreements, and even plan to do so next week new meetings between the two sides in search of a consensus on fundamental issues. Until Sanchez changes his mind and continues his idea of draining the legislature, or at least keeping it as long as he is interested in it, the political game will require him to increasingly resort to famous “variable geometry” so typical of minority governments, and that he used so much to overcome his political obstacles.
However, it is one thing to pay for important laws that interest society, at least from the point of view of the opposition, and quite another. support the dying president to save him from suffering. Nunez Feijoo is aware that he must protect the common interest, even if it costs him, but without offering carte blanche to an unwilling president, as he has repeatedly demonstrated, agree with the popularand always chooses Bildu’s support before the PP as the first option, as was already done in the latest National Plan for Ukraine.
The last voices of the executive have been heartbreaking though for this reason they have gained some experience when it comes to urgently looking for “fellow travelers” pass every law. Consequently, Moncloa plans that rules that the right might “please” will be passed with his support, and those on the left will do so with their usual partners, even if they have to negotiate with them or pay additional fees. In the meantime, it is good to know that the government, in spite of everything that is against it, managed to carry out its legislative agendaHence the triumph that Sanchez showed these days when he recalled that the National Security Act was also passed, no matter what, and after such a hard and stressful week for him and his cabinet. But let’s not forget that all these achievements were made possible thanks to the abuse of decrees, of which more than 40 were adopted in ten months.
Although independents have been resurrected these days thanks to their battles and criticism of the government, as CNI head Paz Esteban was served on a silver platter to appease their anger, Moncloa wants to send a notice to the CKD that his 13 congressional seats are important but not necessary and that there are other parties willing to join. This does not mean that Sanchez and his executive are also strong, on the contrary, they are still very weak and on the way to the bottom if the problems persist, mostly economic; the politician is always trying to make weaknesses of virtuenot to mention the president, unable to empathize and touched by cold arrogance.
Today Sanchez achieved cunning and “necessity” pass their laws with the support of left and right parties, according to the trend and needs of the votes. Something that, keeping a distance time, also did José María Aznar at that time in his first presidency in Moncloa, during which resorted to the constant support of the nationalists like Jordi Pujol, then in the Generalitat, and his votes from the Convergencia i Unió (CiU), or votes from the PNV or Canarian parties. Those were other distant times, but the need to survive in power was the same; Moreover, thanks to this policy of pacts with the nationalists, Aznar achieved an absolute majority in 2000. I don’t think Sanchez will make it, but at least will fight keep your bed and mattress for another season in Moncloa.
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