Following in Spartak’s footsteps, Lokomotiv will slow down in Orenburg in the Russian Cup
Alexey Anisimov August 12, 2024, 12:30 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
The railroaders are good, but it’s hard for everyone to play with synthetics.
Russian teams will make up for the lack of European Cup matches with the Russian Cup. The second round of the RPL Path group stage starts on August 13. In Orenburg, at the Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg will host Lokomotiv Moscow. The kick-off of the match of the participants of Group B is scheduled for 17:30 Moscow time. Bookmakers have already made their predictions, so we will try our hand at it too.
What do bookmakers expect from the Russian Cup match between Orenburg and Lokomotiv on August 13?
Bookmakers cannot identify a clear favourite for the upcoming Russian Cup match in Orenburg, but they give a slight preference to the visiting team. You can bet on Lokomotiv’s victory in regular time with a rate of 2.30, which is approximately a 43% probability. Orenburg’s success is available at bookmakers with a rate of 3.10, which is just over 30% probability.
However, analysts doubt that the Group B meeting will be productive. A total of over 2.5 goals has a rate of 1.88 and a total of under 2.5 goals has a rate of 1.98. If the hosts score, the rate will be 1.34. The away goal is estimated at a rate of 1.24. The most likely, according to experts, is 1:1 after 90 minutes.
Analysis and prediction for the match of the 2nd round of the Russian Cup “Orenburg” – “Lokomotiv” (08/13/2024)
Today’s Orenburg is a very strange object. It seems to be fighting, but it doesn’t seem to be. In the 1st round of the Russian Championship, it managed to beat Spartak at home with a score of 2-0. Of course, there are doubts for the red-and-whites, but the victory is logical. However, then there was a goalless draw with Akhmat and two defeats at once: to Khimki (0-1) in the Russian Cup and an unpleasant one to CSKA (1-5) in the Russian Championship.
The situation was eased by a 2-2 draw at home to Akron Tolyatti. The Orenburg team was also the first to concede a goal, just before the break from the penalty spot. The Iranian legionnaires performed well. Said Sakharkhizan and Mohammad Ghorbani scored one goal each. And in general, foreign players of the Ural team usually deliver results.
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The home field factor is also worth mentioning here, and not just because of the away support. The fact is that the surface of the Gazovik Stadium in Orenburg is synthetic. The home players are already used to it and that is their advantage. And teams that base their football on ball control and low passes often suffer from this.
Lokomotiv is one of those teams whose implementation may be difficult in Orenburg. Against the background of a brilliant start, this may be especially painful. Having drawn conclusions after losing five goals in the first two rounds of the RPL, the Moscow club won three clean sheets. Namely, against Rostov (1-0), Akhmat (5-0) and Dynamo Makhachkala (2-0).
Ilya Lantratov looks reliable in goal, and Alexey Batrakov (2+4 according to the goal+pass system), Sergey Pinyaev (1+1) and Dmitry Vorobyov (3+1) are responsible for the goals. In general, the young railway workers at the start of the season impress. But, of course, it will not be possible to constantly maintain a high level. Slumps are inevitable. And you can expect one of them now.
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Orenburg will fight and show its teeth at home. Lokomotiv has improved its defensive game, but young players will find it difficult to create attacks on a synthetic pitch. Moreover, in the last two head-to-head clashes, Mikhail Galaktionov and David Deograci have exchanged 2-0 victories. All this suggests that there will be fewer goals than fights this time too.
Tender: total less than 2.5 goals by 1.98.
