Italy – Ukraine. Luciano Spalletti will bring Sergei Rebrov back to reality
Mikhail Korobov September 11, 2023, 20:45 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
It is in vain that the Ukrainians are happy with the draw with the British, because the “blues” are ready to expose all their problems, because they need a victory.
On September 12, the match of the sixth qualifying day for Euro 2024 Italy – Ukraine will be played. The game starts at 21:45 Moscow time. The bookmakers have already made a prediction, they consider the hosts as favorites: you can bet that the Italians will win with odds of 1.48. The experts evaluated the success of the Ukrainians at 8:20 am. Tie bets are accepted at 4.40.
Bookmaker odds for the Euro 2024 qualification match Italy – Ukraine September 12, 2023
Analysts believe that the Italy-Ukraine match will not be productive: a total of more than 2.5 goals costs 2.10, and a total of less than 2.5 goals costs 1.79. If the hosts score, the odds will be 1.14. The away goal is available at a rate of 1.97. You can bet on “both will score” for 2.30.
Analysis and forecast for the match of the sixth qualifying day for Euro 2024 Italy – Ukraine (12.09.2023)
Club football took a break, giving way to the qualifying matches for Euro 2024. On September 12, nine matches will be played on matchday 6 of the group stage of the tournament. Among them, the match between Italy and Ukraine at the legendary San Siro stadium in Milan stands out. The starting whistle will sound at 21:45 Moscow time.
In four qualifying matches for Euro 2024, the Ukrainian team only lost to England (0:2). They then beat North Macedonia (3-2) and Malta (1-0), and also drew with the British 1-1. In this way, the blue-yellows occupy second place in the classification. The difference with Italy is three points.
Sergei Rebrov’s team drew in the second leg against the English, not without luck. During the entire game they only took two shots and only one of them was right. Three Lions goalkeeper Jordan Pickford had no chance of tackling him. Alexander Zinchenko struck from a lethal position.
Otherwise, the British looked much better than the Ukrainians. After conceding, they took full control of the match and launched 13 shots, five of which were on goal. The Three Lions won the ball by a wide margin and also created many more dangerous attacks. They lacked a little luck and desire.
Attitude problems are not surprising. The England team tops the standings. The difference with the blue-yellows is up to five points. For her the main thing was not to lose. Italy will go into the match against the Ukrainians with a completely different attitude. To be in Euro 2024 you need a victory.
So far the blues have only played three games in the qualifying tournament. First they lost to England (1-2), beat Malta (2-0) and then tied with North Macedonia (1-1). If the Italians had not lost points in the match against the Macedonians, their position would have been much better.
However, several factors played an important role. First of all, the match against North Macedonia was for former Zenit coach Luciano Spalletti his debut as coach of the national team. Secondly, the “Azur” team played as a visitor.
Spalletti complained about the poor quality of the field in a post-match interview. He said that the Italians could play better football, but on a field like this it is impossible to make a good pass. The specialist also promised to review the match with North Macedonia and work on the mistakes. It definitely won’t be superfluous.
In the next match the Italian team will play in completely different conditions. The home walls and the support of her home stands will certainly help her make amends for her failed performance in the match against North Macedonia. You can bet that the Italians will win and that the total will be less than 3.5 goals at bookmakers with odds of 2.02.
Four of the last five head-to-heads ended this way. Another friendly match ended in a 1:1 draw. It is highly unlikely that Italy will miss a third consecutive major tournament. Spalletti led Napoli to the championship last season. It seems that he will quickly adapt to a new place and help the national team reach the final round of Euro 2024.
Italy has a much higher championship level, as well as better equipment and squad depth than the Ukrainians. Furthermore, the match with England took a lot of energy away from the blue-yellows. It is unlikely that they will be able to make another sensation and take points from the second best team in a row.
We don’t expect many goals for several reasons. The Italians have performance problems. In the last 21 official matches they only scored 29 goals and also lost some: 20 goals. Ukrainians simply do not have enough resources. Most of the time, in matches with the leaders, they play defensively. Because of this, they concede relatively rarely, but almost never score.
It is also worth noting that both teams have reliable goalkeepers. Gianluigi Donnarumma has long established himself as a top-level goalkeeper. He often helps in difficult times. Anatoly Trubin also repeatedly saved the team from him. In the summer he moved to Benfica.
Prediction and bets for the Euro 2024 qualification match Italy – Ukraine September 12, 2023
I think that this time the Italian team will come to the game with the right attitude. The home stadium should help the team. Ukraine has fewer resources and had a difficult match against England. The yellow-blues were probably inspired by the fact that they managed to take points from the “three lions”. However, the balance of power, as well as the history of direct confrontations, are not in their favor. It is unlikely that many goals will be scored. Both teams do not concede goals often and score few goals.
Tender: Victory for Italy and the total is less than 3.5 goals for an odds of 2.02.
