“Krasnodar” – “Akhmat”. Without Córdoba, without goals
Alexey Anisimov August 14, 2024, 12:30 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
Krasnodar is bad at execution, but good at defense.
Russian teams will make up for the lack of European Cup matches with the Russian Cup. The programme of the second round of the RPL Path group stage will end on 15 August. In Krasnodar, the local “Krasnodar” will host the Grozny “Akhmat”. The kick-off of the meeting of the participants of group C is scheduled for 20:30 Moscow time. Bookmakers have already made their predictions, so we will try our hand at it too.
What do bookmakers expect from the Russian Cup match between Krasnodar and Akhmat on August 15?
Bookmakers have little doubt in their predictions when choosing a favourite. Krasnodar’s success in regular time is estimated at a coefficient of 1.70, which is close to 60% probability. They offer to bet on Akhmat’s success with a coefficient of 5.20, which is less than 20% probability. If a penalty is to be taken, the odds will be 3.90.
At the same time, analysts doubt that the match in the second round of the Russian Cup group stage will be productive. A total of over 2.5 goals has a rate of 1.92, and a total of under 2.5 goals has a rate of 1.96. If both teams score, the rate will be 1.92. The most likely result is 1:0 in favor of the home team.
Analysis and prediction for the match of the 2nd round of the Russian Cup “Krasnodar” – “Akhmat” (08/15/2024)
So far, Krasnodar has only beaten CSKA Moscow and only on its own field. The first time was in the first round of the Russian Cup, where we managed to win by a minimal score. Last weekend, the Krasnodar team beat the Army team in the RPL with a score of 2:1. The winning goal was scored in the second half added time.
In the remaining four matches of all tournaments, Krasnodar recorded three draws and there was also a defeat to Zenit in the Russian Super Cup. Despite the fact that the newcomers have already adapted, the team often lacks something to win. But the opponents are not always strong: “Fakel”, “Dynamo” Makhachkala and “Akhmat” are considered passable for the greats.
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Perhaps there are not only questions for the defence. If you do not take into account the 4-2 defeat to Zenit, the departure of Matvey Safonov is perceived almost painlessly. In the five remaining matches, Krasnodar conceded only two goals, one of which was an own goal. And this fact speaks in favour of the poor performance in the upcoming match.
The fact is that Akhmat, after losing 0:5 to Lokomotiv, bounced back and stole Spartak (0:0) in Moscow. But the red-and-whites were on a confident winning streak. Magomed Adiev managed to cut off the air for the capital’s footballers using the 5-4-1 formation. Moreover, if it were not for Alexander Maksimenko, with a successful combination of circumstances, one could count on three points.
Of course, it will be difficult to consolidate the success in Krasnodar. However, the Grozny coaching staff will probably abandon the work scheme. Juan Cordoba missed the match against CSKA due to recovery. Murad Musaev does not have to wait until now for the hero of the Copa America. Therefore, we check the bet on a total of under 2.5 goals. In previous head-to-head clashes, he scored three times in a row.
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A safe alternative option is that Krasnodar will not lose in regular time and the total will be less than 3.5 goals. After all, the Krasnodar team has not yet lost to anyone in the RPL or the Russian Cup. And even now, any victory will be worth its weight in gold for its own confidence. The Grozny team, on the other hand, does not look so formidable that it is worth expecting victory.
Tender: total less than 2.5 goals by 1.96.
