On July 11, the match of the first qualifying round of the Champions League “Lincoln” – “Garabagh” will take place. The game starts at 18:30 Moscow time. The bookmakers have already given a forecast, they consider the guests to be the favorites: you can bet on the victory of the Azerbaijanis in bookmakers with a coefficient of 1.36. The success of the Gibraltar club is valued by experts at 10.5. Bets on a tie are accepted at 4.60.
The best predictions for today.
Bookmaker odds for the Champions League qualifier Lincoln vs Qarabag on July 11, 2023
Bookies doubt the Lincoln-Qarabag matchup will be productive: the over 2.5 total goes to 1.86 and the under 2.5 total goes to 1.94. The home goal is available in bookmakers at odds of 2.00. If the guests score, the fee will be 1.10. You can bet “both teams to score” for 2.30.
Analysis and forecast for the match of the first round of the Champions League Lincoln – Qarabag (11.07.2023)
The group stage of the Champions League begins in September. Until then, teams that have not directly received entry have a chance to qualify. On July 11, 10 matches of the first round are scheduled. In one of them, at the Victoria Stadium in Gibraltar, the local Lincoln will receive Karabakh.
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Lincoln is the club with the most titles in Gibraltar. Up to 27 times he won the national championship. The Red Devils hold the European championship record for the number of championships won in a row. Now they have 20 of them on their account, but this does not mean anything good. The bottom line is that there is no competition in the Gibraltar Championship and therefore no qualitative growth.
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In the international arena, the “red devils” have failed miserably for several years. In the last draw of the Champions League qualifying phase, they failed to get past the first qualifying phase. Lost Lincoln to Shkupi of North Macedonia. In the first match, on the road, they suffered a crushing defeat – 0:3. In the second, they won with a score of 2: 0, but that did not help to avoid relegation.
The Red Devils also performed unsuccessfully in the Conference League qualifying tournament. They lost in the second qualifying round to Tobol. In the first meeting, on the road, Lincoln lost with a score of 0:2, and in the second – 0:1. Will he be able to impose a fight in Karabakh?
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In the Azerbaijani championship, the competition is better. For this reason, and not only, the “horses” performed very well at the European Cup tournaments last season. First, they reached the Champions League playoffs, disappointingly losing to Viktoria Pilsen (0:0 and 1:2).
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Then Qarabag was close to reaching the Europa League playoffs. He missed a single point. In six rounds of the group stage, the Agdam club lost only to Freiburg (1:2) and Nantes (1:2). He played a tie with Olympiacos (0:0) and Freiburg (1:1). Beat “Nantes” (3:0) and “Olympiacos” (3:0).
The “horses” also left the Conference League very disappointingly. In the 1/16 final they lost to Gent. They won 1-0 in the first game and lost 0-1 in the second. It came down to a series of post-match penalties, in which the Belgian team were more successful.
Skakuny became the first and only Azerbaijani club in history that managed to reach the playoffs of the European cups. And this is by no means an accident. In all matches “Karabagh” demonstrated excellent team football and character. He could well have made it to further stages of European competition, but he lacked a bit of luck.
Also, Gurbanov’s wards won the Azerbaijan championship. In 36 rounds, they only lost twice and drew six times. During this period of time, he conceded 25 goals and they themselves scored 91. 22 of them were scored by Ramil Sheydaev, who became the top scorer in the championship at the end of last season.
The only bad thing is that this summer Sheydayev moved to the Thai club Buriram United. Without this player, it is likely that he will decrease the performance of the “horses”. I bet that they will win the match with Lincoln and will total less than 3.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.02.
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The fact that this is only the first meeting also plays in favor of this bet. It is important that it take place in Gibraltar. At home, the Red Devils perform better than away. It is unlikely that they will be able to hold on to a draw, but they will certainly be able to avoid a devastating defeat.
Forecast and bets for the qualifying match of the Champions League “Lincoln” – “Qarabagh” July 11, 2023
Lincoln is simply underpowered by the low level of the championship and the lack of competition. In the international arena, it is not the first year that it has been a fiasco. The only good thing for the Red Devils is that the next game will take place in Gibraltar. Without the best scorer, Qarabag is unlikely to score much, but he will win for sure. Most likely, the “steeds”, as well as last season, will cause a lot of sensations. With the exception of the departure of Sheidaev, its composition has not changed much.
Tender: the victory of “Qarabagh” and the total of less than 3.5 goals for a coefficient of 2.02.
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