On August 14, the UEFA Super Cup match between Real Madrid and Atalanta will take place at the Narodowy Stadium in Warsaw (Poland). Kick-off is scheduled for 22:00 Moscow time and the match will be officiated by a team of Swiss referees headed by Sandro Scherer. This match will mark the start of the 2024/2025 season in the major European championships. The bookmakers have already made their predictions, so we will try our hand at it too.
What do bookmakers expect from the 2024 UEFA Super Cup final Real Madrid – Atalanta on August 14?
Bookmakers give a strong preference to the Champions League winner in their predictions. You can bet on Real Madrid winning in regular time with a rate of 1.58, which is more than 60% likely. Solid for such a match! At the same time, Atalanta’s success at the end of the 90 minutes is available with a coefficient of 6.00. That’s just over 16%.
Analysts also have little faith in a draw. The probability of a level score after two halves is 4.50, which represents a probability of approximately 22%. If there is a penalty shoot-out and the Spanish club wins, the odds will be 8.10. If the Italian club wins the same, the odds will be 8.30.
But the experts expect goals from their opponents in the UEFA Super Cup match. A total of over 2.5 goals costs 1.69 and a total of under 2.5 goals costs 2.24. Kylian Mbappé is aiming for the lead role at Madrid. The Frenchman’s goal is proposed to be bet at 2.15. Meanwhile, the Bergamo side are hoping for a goal from the hero of the Europa League final, Ademola Lookman (4.50).
Analysis and prediction of the European Super Cup match Real Madrid – Atalanta (08/14/2024)
You won’t be surprised if I say that Real Madrid is the favourite for the upcoming UEFA Super Cup match. Moreover, this is visible both in the state of the club and on paper. If only because the Spanish club and Carlo Ancelotti personally already have countless great finals and trophies behind them.
For example, in the Champions League alone, Los Blancos have won 15 times! More than any other club. More than all Italian teams put together. In three cases it was the wise father Carlo who helped out. In addition, they have four UEFA Super Cups in the last 10 years. Atalanta cannot even boast of anything like that.
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Real Madrid are heading into the next trophy match armed. Jude Bellingham is in place and in perfect condition, Thibaut Courtois has logically been given the first choice goalkeeper role by the coaching staff and Dani Carvajal, who has had his best season, is also preparing to take part in the match. Strictly speaking, the Galácticos have an almost complete squad.
Let’s not forget Kylian Mbappé, who will join Vinicius and Rodrigo in attack. Not only are almost all the players available, but most have already been played. And for the French PSG star, rested after Euro 2024, it should not be difficult to show a good level.
Atalanta, meanwhile, has parted ways with several players, including Alexey Miranchuk, who left to conquer the United States. New replacements have already been found and an agreement has been reached with Charles De Ketelare. However, the players will still need some time to adapt and get used to each other. In addition, Gianluca Scamacca is injured.
The Bergamo side performed well in the Europa League final, beating Xabi Alonso’s seemingly impregnable Bayer 3-0. The heroine of that encounter was Ademola Lukman. Only now the opponent is, if not two, then at least a head and a half taller. The Madrid side are angrier, more experienced, more skilful. It is unlikely that we will be able to survive even until the end of regular time.
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The only thing the Italians can count on is a goal against Thibaut Courtois. The Belgian has conceded three goals in the last two games of the US tour, against Barcelona (1-2) and Chelsea (2-1). And yet, Real’s victory with a total of over 1.5 goals seems more tempting. There should be goals, given the strong selection of Spanish players. Here it is quite possible to see something like 2:0 or 3:1.
Tender: Real Madrid win and total of over 1.5 goals in 1.83.
