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Date: December 6, 2021 6:37 am
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds: 2021 Egg Bowl picks, college football predictions from model on 39-25 run

Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds: 2021 Egg Bowl picks, college football predictions from model on 39-25 run

The No. 9 Ole Miss Rebels have fallen just short of posting a four-game winning streak twice already during the 2021 season, having the quest halted each time by a ranked opponent. Ole Miss was soundly beaten 42-21 by then-No. 1 Alabama after beginning the year with a trio of victories, then won its next three contests before falling 31-20 against then-No. 18 Auburn. The Rebels (9-2, 5-2) hope to end the regular season with a four-game run when they visit an SEC and in-state rival in the Mississippi State Bulldogs (7-4, 4-3) on Thanksgiving Day for the 2021 Egg Bowl.

Kickoff at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss. is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bulldogs as two-point favorites in the latest Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss odds. The over-under for total points is set at 64.5. Before locking in any Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 13 of the 2021 season on a 39-25 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has locked in on Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State and just revealed its picks and Egg Bowl 2021 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss:  

  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss spread: Mississippi State -2
  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss over-under: 64.5 points
  • Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss money line: Bulldogs -130, Rebels +110
  • MSU: The Bulldogs are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games
  • UM: The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings with the Bulldogs

Featured Game | Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Why Mississippi State can cover

Will Rogers is having a tremendous season for the Bulldogs, as he has shattered the school record and ranks second in the country with 4,113 passing yards. The sophomore quarterback’s 391-yard effort in Saturday’s 55-10 triumph over Tennessee State moved him past Dak Prescott (3,793 in 2015) for most passing yards in a season in Mississippi State history. It was the 10th 300-yard performance in 11 outings this year for Rogers as he nearly reached 400 for the fifth time.

The only time he failed to record 300 yards in 2021 was in the second of the campaign, a 24-10 victory over North Carolina State in which he finished with 294. Rogers leads the nation with a 76 percent completion rate and is sixth with 34 touchdown passes after throwing five against the Tigers. He has made at least four TD tosses in each of his last three games, amassing 15 in that span.

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Why Ole Miss can cover

The Rebels have a Heisman Trophy contender in Matt Corral, who has registered 3,100 passing yards with 19 touchdowns and only three interceptions. The junior, who is expected to enter the 2022 NFL Draft, is one of just three quarterbacks in the nation with at least 15 TD passes and 10 rushing scores this season. Corral is Ole Miss’ third-leading rusher with 552 yards and ranks ninth in the FBS with an average of 332.5 yards of total offense.

Wideout Jahcour Pearson has reached triple digits in receiving yards twice in his last three games after gaining 101 on four receptions in the Rebels’ 31-17 triumph over Vanderbilt on Saturday. He produced a 135-yard performance against Auburn on Oct. 30. Fellow senior receiver Dontario Drummond leads Ole Miss with 53 receptions, 786 yards and eight touchdown catches after hauling in a scoring pass for the second straight contest in the victory.

How to make Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss picks

The model is going under on the total, projecting 51 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 39-25 run on its top-rated college football side picks, and find out.

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