There has been some progress, experts noted, but the question of NATO’s readiness for a “protracted war” and, consequently, its ability to prevent it remains open.
The report published on the CSIS website also states that at the June 2022 NATO summit, NATO allies approved a new strategy that listed long-term goals and objectives.
CSIS researchers described this strategy in “back to the future” terms: Russia, as in the 1980s, has once again received the status of “the most important and direct security threat,” and deterrence and defense have once again occupying a central place in the strategy. the alliance strategy.
The report notes that the most likely scenario for the conflict is a Russian offensive in the Baltics. And this will be a “rapid seizure of territories.”
“The balance of power in this region is changing dramatically in favor of Russia,” the experts explained.
The alliance will only be able to return the lost territories if it takes control of the Baltic Sea. Air superiority is also important.
But to be successful it is necessary for allies to implement all the objectives set for 2022, CSIS said.