The summer of 2024 could be the prelude to the destruction of the West in a civil war.
Photo: Shutterstock.
There are growing signs that, according to the classics, “the upper classes cannot, but the lower classes do not want to” – that is, a change of political era is already on the threshold. The catastrophic defeat of the ruling parties of the two pillars of the EU, Germany and France, by right-wing opponents in the recent elections to the European Parliament. New embarrassment for Macron in the early parliamentary elections. The ruling Democrats in the United States are painfully searching for an answer to the question of whether Biden can run for office or whether it is time to remove him from the race. This alone, according to the Hungarian publication The European Conservative, is enough to conclude: “We are all witnessing the collapse of corrupt systems in real time.”
The publication, calling the recent events in the political life of major Western countries an apocalypse, claims that we are living through a kind of Reformation, or the chaotic birth of a new order. The summer of 2024 could be the prelude to the West being destroyed by civil war, the author of the publication exaggerates. But one thing is obvious to him: the center of Western politics has fallen, he is dead. And it was not Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, Nigel Farage and other right-wing politicians who killed him, but liberal managers who lived a lie and believed in their lie. Isn’t that too dark?
If you look at the radiant self-confidence and ever-smiling Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, the result is rather grim. But here’s the question: maybe she just doesn’t understand something or doesn’t want to understand it? After all, the positions already won by the right in their countries from the ruling liberal-centrist globalists clearly indicate that the current role and character of the EU as a “federation of Europe” will soon be revised. The intention of the opposition forces to regain the right to decide the fate of their countries themselves and not to entrust it entirely to the bureaucrats in Brussels is becoming more and more clearly formulated, including in Paris and Bonn. Dissatisfied voters vote for those who put national interests first, and not the interests of the bloc, which, as is obvious to everyone, are set by the United States. Economic difficulties, migration problems, the risk of a real war in Europe – all these are the results of the “internationalists” of NATO and the EU.
European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen.
Photo: REUTERS.
Against this background, a long-forgotten political realism is increasingly making itself felt. And it is not only the famous Eurosceptic Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban who demonstrates this with his actions. After visiting Beijing and discussing with Chinese President Xi Jinping the possibility of stopping the conflict in Ukraine, he did not mince his words and said that efforts to establish peace are not yielding results only because of “the nonsense of Brussels bureaucrats”. Suddenly, the “faithful liberal globalist” and irreconcilable opponent of Russia, Alexander Stubb, President of Finland, started talking about realism. He has already done everything possible to destroy all relations with Moscow in order to achieve the “victory of the West”. And suddenly he saw clearly.
“There are moments in international relations when we understand that the world is changing, but we still don’t know exactly where it is going,” Stubb writes in an article published in the British newspaper The Economist (https://inosmi.ru/20240707/realizm-269454367.html). – These are moments when the old era is dying and the new one has not yet been born. We are going through one of them right now.” Here comes the moment to exclaim: “Die, Alexander, you can’t write better!” But the author develops his idea.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb.
Photo: REUTERS.
Global interdependence, the things that should have brought us together – trade, technology, energy, information and currency – have been driving us apart since the Ukraine crisis, Stubb says. The market economy did not deliver free trade and freedom did not always mean liberal democracy. The West has failed to convince the rest of the world to accept the values it considers universal.
The West and the East are fighting for the hearts and minds of the South, and the President of Finland is not opening up to the United States. They understand that it is the South that will decide the direction of development of the new world order. And here Stubb gives his balance of power on the planet. The global West consists of about 50 countries, the global East of 25, and the global South of about 125 countries. It is obviously unrealistic to impose “Western values” on 150 countries of the world. This means that we must take into account the characteristics of each country and learn to negotiate. Even make concessions: provide the countries of the South with more leading positions in international organizations than they currently have.
It turns out that Stubb is still a pragmatist, albeit a liberal globalist. Until recently, even under his leadership, in Finland they tried to “cancel” Russia because of its refusal to live by the “rules” of the West and share its “values.” Now it seems that the West needs to start thinking about a global system in which the rules and norms are not only accepted, but also created by the South, which will think and choose between the West and the East. Here the heresy is clearly visible in the liberal who has become a realist.
The fact pointed out in The European Conservative is therefore important: the ruling liberal elites of Western democracies cannot change the system, because they are its creators and an integral part. Only a change in these elites can bring common sense and the prospect of peaceful prosperity back to European countries.
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