We’ve been waiting! The new Champions League season has started with confidence. The programme for the first round of the qualifying round will end on 19 September. Among others, Italian Atalanta and English Arsenal will put things right. The match will be played at the Jewish Stadium in Bergamo and kick-off is scheduled for 22:00 Moscow time.
What do bookmakers expect from the Champions League match Atalanta – Arsenal on September 19, 2024?
Bookmakers give preference to guests in their predictions. Arsenal’s victory is offered at odds of 1.90, which is approximately 52% probability. Atalanta’s victory is available at bookmakers at odds of 4.20 (23% probability), and a draw is given at odds of 3.90.
At the same time, analysts believe that the match in Italy will be productive. A total of under 2.5 goals is estimated with a coefficient of 2.04, and a total of over 2.5 goals is estimated with a coefficient of 1.83. If both teams score, the bet with a rate of 1.75 will win. The most likely experts think that the result will be 1:1.
Analysis and prediction for the match of the 1st round of the Champions League “Atalanta” – “Arsenal” (09/19/2024)
This is the case when you don’t want to argue with the bookmakers. Arsenal from London can really be considered the favourite for the upcoming Champions League match. Firstly, because the club managed to keep a great squad in the summer and, in addition, it has strengthened itself with a quality goalkeeper, who is already a regular starter.
Secondly, because we have managed to put in some excellent results at the start of the new season. The Gunners have played four competitive Premier League matches, where they have only stumbled once: they drew points with Brighton (1-1). But in the other three cases they have won three games with a clean sheet: against Wolverhampton (2-0), Aston Villa (2-0) and Tottenham (1-0).
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Perhaps the opponent is more serious now. Atalanta plays at home in Italy and will therefore have support. You should not forget about the flight factor either. However, these small advantages are offset by a major disadvantage: the Italian team is much less stable than the guests from England.
The Bergamo side played five official matches, including the UEFA Super Cup match, and suffered three defeats and two victories. The trophy was awarded to Real Madrid (0-2) and in Serie A they lost to Torino (1-2) and Inter (0-4). There were only two pleasant victories: over Lecce (4-0) and Fiorentina (3-2).
Just look at the number of goals conceded! Ten goals conceded in five games is a lot. On average, exactly twice as many. It is important to recognise that of all these games, only one was played at home. That is, against Fiorentina. But Gian Piero Gasperini’s team even managed to concede two goals.
Previously, Atalanta could make up for lost goals by scoring goals. This season, it is not always possible to do that. Nothing good can happen in the match against Arsenal, a higher-class opponent than Fiorentina. The Gunners clearly saved their strength in the derby against Tottenham and will be able to give their all in Bergamo.
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Overall, here you can think about what to choose as a bet. A total of over 2.5 goals looks interesting and some may even believe that the guests will win. Considering the instability of the Italian club’s defense at the start of the season, I would expect at least two goals from Arsenal. Here it is quite possible to see a 2:0 or 2:1 in favor of the Londoners.
Martin Odegaard is out due to injury and Bukayo Saka was substituted only in the last game. However, the Gunners have recently strengthened with Raheem Sterling, who has already made his debut. In addition, Gabriel Jesus has returned from a hip problem. So the guests still have a good attack.
Tender: Arsenal’s individual total is over 1.5 goals to 1.84.
