Forecast for the first games of the Euro Cup playoffs. Who has the percentage chance of reaching the quarterfinals?
Kirill Zakatchenko June 29, 2024, 07:00 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
Italy will face Switzerland and Germany will face Denmark.
June 29 is the day when the first matches of the European Championship playoffs will be played. First, the Italians will face Murat Yakin’s team, and then the hosts of Euro 2024 will play with the semi-finalists of the previous tournament.
Let’s remember the records of the first part of the Euro Cup:
The loser Lukaku, the greatness of Ronaldo and the miracle of Georgia. All the records of the EURO 2024 group stage
Switzerland – Italy
The Swiss performed well in the group stage. Yakin’s team added five points in games against Hungary (3-1), Scotland (1-1) and Germany (1-1). He took second place, although he could have easily moved up to first place. The Swiss fell a little short in the match with the Germans: they conceded in added time. Three years ago the team reached the quarterfinals, where they lost in the penalty shootout. What will it be like this time?
Team Switzerland
Photo: Stu Forster/Getty Images
Mattia Zaccagni is the player who led Italy to second place in the group. It was his goal in the eighth minute of added time in the match against Croatia (1-1) that allowed the team to directly qualify for the playoffs. Before that, the reigning European champions had won a convincing victory over Albania (2-1) and then were unable to cope with Spain (0-1). However, in the second match, the Italians could have conceded many more goals.
The bookmakers consider Italy as favorites for the next match. You can bet on their victory at odds of 2.45, on a Swiss victory at odds of 3.55 and on a draw at odds of 2.90. Opta analysts also give preference to Italians. The probability of your team winning is 39%, the probability of Switzerland winning is 30.3%. According to Football Meets Data, Italy has a 59% chance of qualifying for the quarterfinals and Switzerland 41%.
Who will win the Euro Cup?
Classification
Who will win Euro 2024? Favorite rating
Germany – Denmark
The performance of the German team in the group stage left a mixed impression. On the one hand, the Germans performed well in the matches against Scotland (5-1) and Hungary (2-0). On the other hand, there were still doubts about his performance in the match against Switzerland (1:1). The match against the strongest rival in the group was not easy for the Bundesteam: they only won in extra time.
Denmark national team
Photo: Alex Grimm/Getty Images
The Danes played in a rather boring group. They never won, but they never lost either. Denmark successively drew with Slovenia (1-1), England (1-1) and Serbia (0-0). This was enough to take second place in the group, but the Danes outperformed the Slovenians only in additional indicators.
The bookmakers consider the German team to be the favourites for the upcoming match. The odds of a victory for the hosts of the tournament are 1.67, a victory for Denmark is 6.20 and a draw is 3.80. What do the Opta analysts say? The probability of a German win is 57.9%, the probability of a Danish win is 18.8%. Football Meets Data also rates the Germans’ chances of reaching the quarter-finals very highly: 68%. The probability of a Danish team going through is much more modest: 32%.
Playoff game schedule:
Full schedule for the Euro 16. When to watch France vs Belgium and when to watch Khvichi?
