The group stage of the European Championship in Germany is everything. Before you had time to blink, it was time for the knockout matches. The playoff stage begins today, June 29, with two games at the same time. A very interesting couple had the honor of opening the program of the elimination matches. The round of 16 match between Switzerland and Italy will be played at the Olympic Stadium in Berlin and the kick-off is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Moscow time. Before making predictions, let’s get to know the opinion of the bookmakers.
Who is the favorite? Come on, not me!
The bookmakers give a slight preference to the Italian team. However, in reality, if we look at the difference in probabilities, the advantage is purely formal. Even if the line moves before the opening whistle.
The odds on Italy winning in regulation time range from 2.60, which is equivalent to a 38% probability. Switzerland’s success is available with a coefficient of 3.50 – 29% probability. At the same time, a draw at the end of 90 minutes is worth 2.85.
The situation changes a little when you look at the odds of reaching the quarterfinals by any means. That is, in regulatory time, depending on the results of the extensions or sanctions. Here the odds are already 1.72 versus 2.20 in favor of the Italians. Still pretty close though.
And this equality is quite logically explained. The Swiss managed one win and two draws in the group stage, with a loss to Germany in the third round, which is now very good. The Italians did not please even before Euro 2024, and in the tournament they only beat modest Albania.
Watching a game for goals is a waste of time
Regarding the forecasts for the development of the round of 16 of the European Championship between Switzerland and Italy, the experts are unequivocal. You can bet on a total of under 2.5 goals at bookmakers with odds of 1.53 and on a total of over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.60.
At the same time, a Swiss goal costs 1.52 and an Italian goal costs 1.39. The most likely outcome, as you may have guessed, is one on both sides. You can bet 1:1 with a rate of 5.30. This is almost a 20% probability.
Not in vain Embolo plays with Golovin
According to experts, there are many candidates for the role of the hero of the upcoming Euro 2024 play-off match. The goal of Bril Embolo, who plays in Monaco with Alexander Golovin, is estimated at 4.25. He is the most likely candidate among Granit Xhaka, Xherdan Shaqiri and other Swiss players.
As part of Italy, everything is a little more complicated. Ciro Immobile was not taken to the tournament and Luciano Spalletti does not have another brilliant striker. You can bet on Gianluca Scamacca’s accurate shot with an odds of 3.55. Goals from Federico Chiesa, Mateo Retegui and Giacomo Raspadori are represented with comparable odds.
Prediction and betting tips for the Euro 2024 round of 16 match Switzerland – Italy (06/29/2024)
On the one hand, there is the Swiss team, which was on the verge of taking first place in the group from the Euro Cup host team, the German team, and undoubtedly deserved a place in the playoffs. On the other hand, we have the Italian team, which in three days scored three goals with an average ball possession of just over 50%. The Italians will also play in the round of 16 by right, but in no way as favorites.
We wouldn’t wait for the hacking to manifest itself directly. Most likely, the match will be played carefully on the part of the Swiss and carefully on the part of the Italians. Not to say cowardly. An average of exactly three shots on goal per game in the group stage is a modest figure even for a group that included the Squadra Azzurra.
In the first half, teams are likely to test themselves, minimizing risky attacks. It is possible that in the end the game will not only go to overtime, but also to the post-game series. And then there will be the one who has the most strength and luck.
By the way, at the last Euro Cup, the Swiss, together with Vladimir Petkovic, similarly beat the French national team and finished in the quarterfinals. The coaching staff realized that the only way to play successfully against the giants was to give the ball away, defend well and take advantage of their chances. I think this time it will be more or less the same, because Murat Yakin is not a fool either.
However, if the French knew how to handle the ball and knew how to do it calmly, then there was much less confidence in Luciano Spalletti’s pupils. Based on this, we would choose between a draw in regulation time or a zero handicap against Switzerland. As long as, of course, the judges or an absurd accident do not interfere.
Tender: tied in regulation time by 2.85.
