Netherlands – Turkey. This is not France! Gakpo will contribute goals
Alexey Anisimov July 5, 2024, 14:30 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
Cody Gakpo alone has as many goals in the Euros as the entire French national team.
On July 6, the quarter-finals of the 2024 European Championships will be played at the Olympiastadion in Berlin between the Netherlands and Turkey. Kick-off will be at 22:00 Moscow time. Before making our own prediction on the outcome of the match, let’s try to understand the odds offered by the bookmakers.
What do bookmakers expect from the Euro 2024 quarter-final between the Netherlands and Türkiye on July 6?
Bookmakers are betting on the Dutch national team for the upcoming quarter-final match of Euro 2024. Bets are offered on their victory in regular time at a rate of 1.63, which corresponds to approximately 60% probability. The success of the Turkish national team is estimated at 5.60 (17%) and a draw at 4.20 (23%).
At the same time, analysts are inclined to believe that the meeting will be productive. A total of over 2.5 goals is available on the bookmaker’s line with a rate of 1.79, and a total of under 2.5 goals is available with a rate of 2.10. You can bet that both teams will score with a rate of 1.84. And the most likely score is 1:0 in favor of the Netherlands. The probability is about 14%.
First of all, experts expect effective actions from Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo. For at least one goal from either of this pair, the odds are 2.60, which is almost 40% probability. As part of the Turkish national team, the most expected goal is Arda Guler’s, and they give odds of 4.50 for such an event, about 20% probability.
Analysis and prediction of the Euro Cup quarter-final match Netherlands – Türkiye (06/07/2024)
Let’s not split hairs and immediately opt for a bet on the upcoming European Championship quarter-final match between the Netherlands and Turkey. And this is a total of over 2.5 goals, which has a rate of 1.79. Overall, it’s quite playable as it is, but if you want, you can add 1X here during normal time. This combined option already comes with a coefficient of 2.10.
There are several points of reference, so let’s go through them in order. Let’s start with the fact that the Dutch team, although not without luck, deservedly reached the quarter-finals. Along the way they achieved a solid third place with four points in the group with the French team and in the round of 16 they defeated the Romanian team, which jumped over their heads. The score is 3:0.
It is worth noting not only the team’s high performance, but also the achievements of Cody Gakpo. The 25-year-old striker has already scored three goals and made one assist, making him the tournament’s top scorer.
The Dutch national team has a fairly smooth road to the final of Euro 2024. It is stupid to miss such a chance. Especially when the game looks good. It is clear that in the match against Turkey, the Orange will play first, attack positionally and press. Considering the difference in class and the not so reliable Turkish defense, the goals will come.
The Turks had a good run of form against Austria in the previous round, but now they will have to hold on for a lot longer. Perhaps the only logical option for Vincenzo Montella’s players is to simplify the game. The return of Hakan Calhanoglu with his ability to make long passes will come in handy here.
However, the Turkish national team players are unlikely to go without goals. Full-back Ferdi Kadıoğlu, along with Cody Gakpo, is the best at the 2024 European Championship in terms of chances created from play. With Arda Guler a threat to be reckoned with, the Turks will clearly have plenty of scoring opportunities.
The last argument in favour of the high performance of the Netherlands is the statistics. Of the four games played in this European Championship, three were scored with goals. Only with the French team did we get sad zeros on the scoreboard. Probably because of the French. Turkey, on the other hand, usually sees at least three goals in each game. And in the last two direct meetings, the teams scored at least six goals between them.
Tender: total over 2.5 goals for 1.79.
