Paraguay-Brazil. An interrupted series of defeats will still not change anything
Alexey Anisimov September 10, 2024, 09:30 Moscow time
The Seleção remains unimpressed.
While the new cycle of the Nations League has begun in Europe, selection for the 2026 World Cup continues in South America. On September 11, the eighth round of qualifying for the Paraguay 2026 World Cup will be played – Brazil. Kick-off is scheduled for 15:30 Moscow time. The bookmakers have already made their predictions, now it’s our turn.
What do bookmakers expect from the 2026 World Cup qualifying match between Paraguay and Brazil on September 11, 2024?
Bookmakers give a clear preference to guests. Bets are offered on the victory of the Brazilian national team with a rate of 1.59, which is approximately 62% probability. The victory of the Paraguay national team is presented by bookmakers with odds of 7.00 – 14% probability. A draw is more likely, but the odds are also quite high: 4.00.
However, analysts believe that the meeting will not be productive. A total of over 2.5 goals has a rate of 2.33 and a total of under 2.5 goals has a rate of 1.65. If both teams score, the rate will be 2.37. The most likely result, according to experts, is 1-0 in favor of the Brazilians.
Analysis and prediction for the match of the eighth day of qualification for the 2026 World Cup Paraguay – Brazil (09/11/2024)
The Brazilian national team is in crisis. In the last two World Cups, they failed to make it past the quarter-finals, and in four matches at the last Copa America they only managed one victory and were expected to be eliminated. This resulted in a loss of position in the FIFA rankings. And in the current qualification for the 2026 World Cup, the results of the “chosen ones” are obviously unconvincing.
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Of course, there is still a long way to go until the end of the season. But the gap with the group leader, the progressive Argentine team, is decent and amounts to eight points. At the same time, the streak of three consecutive defeats has only just been broken. In the last round, the Brazilians beat Ecuador at home by the minimum score thanks to a goal from Rodrigo.
Many blame the relegation on the coaching staff and, of course, the generational change. If previously the Brazilians were associated with the scheme “you will score as many as you can and we will score as many as we want”, now they often try to score goals. In addition, at the moment there are perhaps only two and a half world-class stars in the line-up. To a certain extent, this really interferes.
However, at least in the upcoming match, the Brazilian team will naturally play as favourites. Even on foreign ground. Of course, the Paraguayan team managed to take points away from the Uruguayan team in the last round of qualification for the 2026 World Cup, drawing with them (0-0). However, overall, they are a modest team, without any stars in the sky.
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At the 2024 Copa America, the Paraguayans lost in all rounds of the group stage. Once it was the Brazilian national team with a score of 1:4. Most likely, even at their stadium, they will lose to the Brazilians again. How they lost in three of the four previous head-to-head clashes. However, it will be difficult for the Brazilians to score even three goals now, given their implementation problems.
Tender: the total is less than 4.5 goals and Brazil wins by 1.77.
