“Spartak” – “Krasnodar”. The leader of the RPL will remain in office
Alexey Anisimov October 18, 2024, 12:45 Moscow time Audio version: Your browser does not support the audio element.
Why do bookmakers usually prefer red and white?
The October international break is over, it’s time to move on to club business. One of the first to return is the beloved Russian Premier League. On Saturday, October 19, the 12th round program will continue. Of course, we pay attention to the match “Spartak” – “Krasnodar”, which will be held at the Lukoil Arena stadium in Moscow. The kick-off is scheduled for 16:30 Moscow time.
What do bookmakers expect from the RPL Spartak-Krasnodar match on October 19, 2024?
Bookmakers, unlike the situation in the standings, give preference to the host team in their predictions. You can bet on Spartak’s victory with an odds of 2.13, which is approximately 46% probability. Krasnodar’s victory is equivalent to a draw and is available in bookmakers with odds of 3.60 – 27% probability. The difference is not that big, but it is there.
At the same time, analysts believe that the central match of the 12th round of the Russian Premier League will be productive. A total of more than 2.5 goals is estimated with a coefficient of 1.81 and a total of less than 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 2.06. If the hosts score, the odds will be 1.20. For an away goal, the odds are around 1.37. Most likely experts consider the result to be equal 1:1. The coefficient is around 6.00.
Analysis and forecast for the match on matchday 12 of the Russian championship “Spartak” – “Krasnodar” (10/19/2024)
It is a bit surprising to see Spartak as favorites in this match. Even if it’s small. Yes, the capital club plays at home and before the October international break they had a great home victory over Valery Karpin’s Rostov with 3:0. However, throughout the entire season, there is a lack of stability. Moreover, both in the championship and in the Russian Cup.
Dejan Stankovic’s team only had two wins in the last six rounds of the RPL. There was only one defeat, in the derby against Lokomotiv, 1:3. But absolutely to the point. In addition, we lost red and white points, where it seemed that we had to win firmly and resolve all doubts beforehand.
For example, in the match against Dinamo Makhachkala (1-1), Spartak players opened the scoring, and in the match against Dinamo Moscow (2-2) they led, had a power-play finish, but they managed to fail. The victory in the last minutes. Yes, even in a tied match with Zenit (0-0), they should have won. After minute 62 we had a numerical and game advantage.
“Krasnodar”, in turn, is almost flawless. After the most important victory over Zenit (2:0), they allowed themselves to rest in the Russian Cup, losing 0:3 to Akhmat Grozny. However, just before the October international break, they made amends by defeating Khimki near Moscow in the RPL match 4-0. The winning streak now lasts eight rounds!
At the same time, Murad Musaev’s team has an excellent difference in goals scored and conceded. With 22 goals scored in 11 games in the Russian Premier League, they only conceded five times. Only Zenit has better results. However, it is much more important that the Krasnodar team is the only one that has not yet lost this season.
There are all conditions for the “bulls” to at least not lose to “Spartak” in the next match. In the last three direct confrontations they achieved two victories, so you can even take a risk and try the zero handicap. However, you shouldn’t expect too many goals. Many foreign players from both teams participate in international matches. It is unlikely that his condition upon return will be optimal.
Tender: Krasnodar will not lose by 1.76.
